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"You look at the past and derive some rule about the future. Well, the problems in projecting from the past can be even worse than what we have already learned, because the same past data can confirm a theory and also its exact opposite! If you survive until tomorrow, it could mean that either a) you are more likely to be immortal or b) that you are closer to death.

Both conclusions rely on the exact same data."

Nassim Taleb
The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

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Additional Photos by Ahmad Gusti (DonGusti) Gold Star Critiquer/Gold Note Writer [C: 106 W: 7 N: 102] (906)
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